Monterey, Calif.-based SNL Kagan forecasts television station owners’ revenues from retransmission carriage fees to reach $5.5 billion US by 2017 and $6 billion US by 2018, the firm said Monday. In a release, SNL Kagan said the increased projections are “due to the success of a wider range of TV station owners in securing sequentially higher retrans fees from multichannel operators over the last year of negotiated deals.” The numbers are in contrast to the $2.36 billion US projected for 2012, SNL Kagan said. The firm said the projections are higher than its forecast made last year, in which it estimated retransmission fees to reach $4.86 billion US by 2017. SNL Kagan said its expected $6.05 billion US in retransmission revenues would amount to about 23 per cent of $26.2 billion US in total television advertising revenues by 2018. The firm projected that the average television station carriage fee will be “slightly less” than $1 US by 2018. Kagan said that by 2018, each multichannel subscriber will be responsible for aggregate retransmission fees of $4.86 per subscriber per month. Kagan said it projects multichannel TV providers to pay $3.49 US per month, or an average retransmission fee of $0.74 US per television station per month, for all five major broadcast networks by 2015. The $3.49 US figure is “significantly below the $6.37 per sub per month that multichannel providers are projected to pay for ESPN, $1.50/sub/month for TNT or the $1.49 sub/month for NFL Network,” the release said.